Saturday, November 22, 2008

CFB Predictions (Week 13)

This is done for the hell of it. If you decide you want to use what I am posting, you are doing so at your own risk.
(ATS w/ $: 15-34 (44%). ATS no $: 21-41 (51%). SU: 64-76 (84%).

Games I would (and probably have) put money on (my picks in GREEN):

Tulane 16 @ Tulsa 51 (Tulsa -29)

Boise St 42 @ Nevada 22 (BSU -6)

UNLV 31 @ San Diego St 13 (UNLV -11)

UL Lafayette 24 @ Troy 36 (Troy -10)

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma Over (O/U 75)


Games I would love to put money on, but have no guts:

Oregon St @ Arizona (UA -3)
Too strong a bias on this one. I would love for OSU to win out and go to the Rose Bowl. However, the Beavers play the Ducks next week and I have a tough one deciding who I would like to win. Whatever the case, even if I want the Ducks to win next weekend, I would rather they play a Beaver team with the Rose Bowl on the line. The Beavers are going to do what they have done well all season with Rodgers. And Arizona can be run on, just like the Ducks putting 207 yds on them last week. They can be scored on too, like Wazzu putting up 28 (most points scored for Wazzu this season). But Arizona plays real tough at home and beat Cal and held USC to a 10-17 score. I'm going to call the Beavers on this game but it is a really tough call.

Washington @ Washington St (UW -7)
I have already written about this game. It's a real hard call because both teams are just way too inconsistent. 

Michigan @ Ohio St (Ohio St -21)
I am not sure if this spread is too high. I think the Buckeyes have to make a statement if they wish to still be considered for an at-large bid. Their chances are running very thin but who's to say Penn St isn't gonna trip up at East Lansing. Both these games are going to be of huge significance. If Ohio St trip ups and Michigan St beats Penn St, Michigan St goes to the Rose Bowl. The Wolverines have a chance to play spoilers for their in-state brothers. I say Ohio St wins but just not by 21.

Michigan St @ Penn St (Penn St -15.5)
Now, I am not picking Penn St to win by 15.5. I am picking them to win but I expect this game to be decided by a touchdown or less. And if I had to call for an upset this weekend, this would be it. Like I have mentioned above, the Spartans still need some help to get to the Rose Bowl, but they can only do so much for themselves.

Stanford @ California (Cal -8.5)
THE BIG GAME. This year it might actually have some truth to it since Stanford has awoken. Sorry to all you Cal alum who read this blog... but you already know how much I hate your team and your stadium. The Bears, as usual, is in it's end of season slide and the Cardinal have become a pretty respectable team this year. I actually like Stanford's chances. I am not only going to call Stanford to cover the spread but also to win. 

Big games of the week:
Several of the games above are some of this week's big games.
But the biggest game this week.

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma. 
Go Red Raiders. Give Stoops another screwed up ending to his year. 

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