Oh what a sweet win...

Well, my wagering results were not that good, but it's ok... getting to watch that Ducks win was... PRICELESS...

Coming from a country that likes to claim a lot of firsts (sarcasm intended), there were a few firsts in the Ducks/Beavers game.

Ducks first win in Corvallis since 1996.

Highest attendance (46,319) ever in Reser Stadium.

Highest number of points (103) in the Civil War series ever.

Most number of yards (both teams combined, 1,157) ever.

Highest temperature (62) ever for a Civil War game.

Most number of offensive yards for Oregon (surpassing record set when hosting Utah St earlier this year).

JJ ran for the most yards (219 yds) ever in a Civil War.

LB sat a new single season rushing TD record for the Ducks (16 TDs).

Pretty darn amazing game if you are an offensive minded kind of person.

As for the predictions, I was kind of split.

(My calls in Blue, correct calls in Green, ties in Yellow and incorrect calls in Red.)

Games I would (and probably have) put money on (my picks in GREEN):

Kansas 24 @ Missouri 44 (Missouri -16)

Kansas 40 Missouri 37

Tulsa 48 @ Marshall 27 (Tulsa -16)

Tulsa 38 Marshall 35

Notre Dame 9 @ USC 45 (USC -33)

ND 3 USC 38

Maryland 13 @ Boston College 27 (BC -7)

Maryland 21 BC 28

Baylor 18 @ Texas Tech 55 (TT -22)

Baylor 28 TT 35

Oklahoma 56 @ Oklahoma St 26 OVER (Oklahoma -8 and O/U 75)

Oklahoma 61 Oklahoma St 41  OVER

Games I would love to put money on, but have no guts:

Syracuse @ Cincinnati (Cincinnati -22)
I am not sure if Cincinnati is that good. I know Syracuse is not very good and I am just overjoyed that they beat Notre Dame last week. I think Cincinnati is gonna win, just that they may not cover the spread.

Syracuse 10 Cincinnati 30

Tulane @ Memphis (Memphis -14)
Another game like the above game. Tulane is pretty bad, but I'm not positive that Memphis is gonna cover the spread.

Tulane 6 Memphis 45

Arkansas St @ N Texas (Arkansas St -20.5)
These Sun Conference teams are really hard to pick. N Texas is also really bad (1-10)but I don't know which Arkansas St team is going to show up to play this game. Plus, this is a home game for N Texas. Arkansas St to win, don't know if they are going to cover the spread.

Arkansas St 33 N Tx 28

Vanderbilt @ Wake Forest (WF -4)
Vanderbilt started off the season 5-0 and since then has gone 1-5. They had people saying that they would be the cinderella team this season. It is not to be. However, WF hasn't been all that good this season either. They have had some decent wins but they are in a 2 game losing streak.. who knows. I am picking WF but not with any confidence.

Vandy 10 WF 23

CFB Predictions (Week 14)

There was the Texas/Texas A&M game on Thanksgiving Day and a whole bunch of games on the day after Thanksgiving. I would have posted this blog earlier but we don't celebrate Thanksgiving Day here and thus... I had to work. 

So, these picks are based only on Saturday's games.

This is done for the hell of it. If you decide you want to use what I am posting, you are doing so at your own risk.
(ATS w/ $: 19-39 (49%). ATS no $: 24-46 (52%). SU: 71-86 (83%).

Games I would (and probably have) put money on (my picks in GREEN):

Kansas 24 @ Missouri 44 (Missouri -16)

Tulsa 48 @ Marshall 27 (Tulsa -16)

Notre Dame 9 @ USC 45 (USC -33)

Maryland 13 @ Boston College 27 (BC -7)

Baylor 18 @ Texas Tech 55 (TT -22)

Oklahoma 56 @ Oklahoma St 26 OVER (Oklahoma -8 and O/U 75)

I would like the Cowboys to win this game but after watching last week's demolition of Texas Tech, I am basically sold on the Sooners.

Games I would love to put money on, but have no guts:

Syracuse @ Cincinnati (Cincinnati -22)

I am not sure if Cincinnati is that good. I know Syracuse is not very good and I am just overjoyed that they beat Notre Dame last week. I think Cincinnati is gonna win, just that they may not cover the spread.

Tulane @ Memphis (Memphis -14)

Another game like the above game. Tulane is pretty bad, but I'm not positive that Memphis is gonna cover the spread.

Arkansas St @ N Texas (Arkansas St -20.5)

These Sun Conference teams are really hard to pick. N Texas is also really bad (1-10)but I don't know which Arkansas St team is going to show up to play this game. Plus, this is a home game for N Texas. Arkansas St to win, don't know if they are going to cover the spread.

Vanderbilt @ Wake Forest (WF -4)

Vanderbilt started off the season 5-0 and since then has gone 1-5. They had people saying that they would be the cinderella team this season. It is not to be. However, WF hasn't been all that good this season either. They have had some decent wins but they are in a 2 game losing streak.. who knows. I am picking WF but not with any confidence.

And lastly...

Oregon @ Oregon St (OSU -3)

You have heard this for the last week. 

I would love the Ducks to be the spoilers. However, I would also love the Beavers to go to the Rose Bowl. The reason behind that is also for the Ducks benefit... I think. If the Beavers go to the Rose, the BCS will have to pick USC for a BCS at-large by virtue of USC finishing in the top 6. The Ducks will then probably land in the Holiday. However, if the Beavers lose, USC goes to the Rose and the Beavers go to the Holiday Bowl. The Ducks will then be relegated to the Sun Bowl or worse. 

May the best team win... but GO DUCKS!!!

 

Good calls this weekend

Before I post my results, there are several things I would like to say about CFB.

(1) To my IU friends, I'm sorry. I'm not saying this because I am bias in favor of Jessica, but the Hoosiers put up... nothing. That was bad. It actually made Purdue look good. But, it was a good send-off for Joe Tiller and I guess maybe it was all for a good reason. But seriously... 62-10?

(2) Notre Dame SHOULD NOT be invited to ANY BOWL. There is NO team in CFB that I detest more and finishing 6-6 (well, they are 6-5 now, but they play USC next week and will lose), makes them bowl eligible, but unless there are no other Div 1-A teams that can go, it's a travesty if they are invited to any bowl. Collegefootballnews.com projects them to face Oregon in the Sun Bowl. Please for God's sake, DON'T. They are not worthy of being the Duck's opponents. The Ducks will rack up 600 yds of offense on them. Please God, let us play someone else more worthy. More importantly, please God, leave ND at home. Losing to Syracuse, a #91 ranked team, when they were 19.5 points favorite is a JOKE.

(3) I was wrong. Well, partially. I thought TT was better than the Sooners. I was wrong on that. As much as I dislike Oklahoma, they thoroughly whooped on the Red Raiders yesterday. If it was not just a convincing win, it was a statement win and I have to be honest. Yesterday, TT lost it's National Championship, it's Heisman, and most likely a BCS bowl. That loss was tough. They now need a miracle from Texas A&M (which faces Texas Thanksgiving Day, but this one does not help the as much), Oklahoma St (which faces Oklahoma next Sat, this is the one they really need) and definitely Missouri (Big 12 Championship game). Their biggest favor would be for Oklahoma St to defeat Oklahoma and then they would face Missouri for the title game (head to head against Texas, they will be Big 12 South Champions). Then, they need to win the title game to get to a BCS bowl (probably Fiesta). What I was right about is that they are now going to get completely shafted if both Texas and Oklahoma win out. They might make the Holiday Bowl. If Texas and Oklahoma win their last game but lose in the Big 12 Championship Game, TT might not even get to the Holiday Bowl and that's a shame.

(4) I am still undecided about the Duck/Beaver game. I think it would be nice for the Beavers to go to the Rose Bowl. But, it would be nicer if the Ducks played the role of spoilers. More during the week.

And now for my results. I did pretty well this week. I went 4 of 5.

(My calls in Blue, correct calls in Green and incorrect calls in Red.)

Games I would (and probably have) put money on (my picks in GREEN):

Tulane 16 @ Tulsa 51 (Tulsa -29)

Tulane 7 Tulsa 56

Boise St 42 @ Nevada 22 (BSU -6)

BSU 41 Nevada 34

UNLV 31 @ San Diego St 13 (UNLV -11)

UNLV 21 SDSU 42

UL Lafayette 24 @ Troy 36 (Troy -10)

UL Lafayette 3 Troy 48

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma Over (O/U 75)

TT 21 Oklahoma 65

Games I would love to put money on, but have no guts:

Oregon St @ Arizona (UA -3)
Too strong a bias on this one. I would love for OSU to win out and go to the Rose Bowl. However, the Beavers play the Ducks next week and I have a tough one deciding who I would like to win. Whatever the case, even if I want the Ducks to win next weekend, I would rather they play a Beaver team with the Rose Bowl on the line. The Beavers are going to do what they have done well all season with Rodgers. And Arizona can be run on, just like the Ducks putting 207 yds on them last week. They can be scored on too, like Wazzu putting up 28 (most points scored for Wazzu this season). But Arizona plays real tough at home and beat Cal and held USC to a 10-17 score. I'm going to call the Beavers on this game but it is a really tough call.

OSU 19 Arizona 17

Washington @ Washington St (UW -7)
I have already written about this game. It's a real hard call because both teams are just way too inconsistent.

UW 13 WSU 16

Michigan @ Ohio St (Ohio St -21)
I am not sure if this spread is too high. I think the Buckeyes have to make a statement if they wish to still be considered for an at-large bid. Their chances are running very thin but who's to say Penn St isn't gonna trip up at East Lansing. Both these games are going to be of huge significance. If Ohio St trip ups and Michigan St beats Penn St, Michigan St goes to the Rose Bowl. The Wolverines have a chance to play spoilers for their in-state brothers. I say Ohio St wins but just not by 21.

Michigan 7 OSU 42

Michigan St @ Penn St (Penn St -15.5)
Now, I am not picking Penn St to win by 15.5. I am picking them to win but I expect this game to be decided by a touchdown or less. And if I had to call for an upset this weekend, this would be it. Like I have mentioned above, the Spartans still need some help to get to the Rose Bowl, but they can only do so much for themselves.

Michigan St 18 Penn St 49

Stanford @ California (Cal -8.5)
THE BIG GAME. This year it might actually have some truth to it since Stanford has awoken. Sorry to all you Cal alum who read this blog... but you already know how much I hate your team and your stadium. The Bears, as usual, is in it's end of season slide and the Cardinal have become a pretty respectable team this year. I actually like Stanford's chances. I am not only going to call Stanford to cover the spread but also to win.

Stanford 16 Cal 37

CFB Predictions (Week 13)

This is done for the hell of it. If you decide you want to use what I am posting, you are doing so at your own risk.
(ATS w/ $: 15-34 (44%). ATS no $: 21-41 (51%). SU: 64-76 (84%).

Games I would (and probably have) put money on (my picks in GREEN):

Tulane 16 @ Tulsa 51 (Tulsa -29)

Boise St 42 @ Nevada 22 (BSU -6)

UNLV 31 @ San Diego St 13 (UNLV -11)

UL Lafayette 24 @ Troy 36 (Troy -10)

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma Over (O/U 75)

Games I would love to put money on, but have no guts:

Oregon St @ Arizona (UA -3)

Too strong a bias on this one. I would love for OSU to win out and go to the Rose Bowl. However, the Beavers play the Ducks next week and I have a tough one deciding who I would like to win. Whatever the case, even if I want the Ducks to win next weekend, I would rather they play a Beaver team with the Rose Bowl on the line. The Beavers are going to do what they have done well all season with Rodgers. And Arizona can be run on, just like the Ducks putting 207 yds on them last week. They can be scored on too, like Wazzu putting up 28 (most points scored for Wazzu this season). But Arizona plays real tough at home and beat Cal and held USC to a 10-17 score. I'm going to call the Beavers on this game but it is a really tough call.

Washington @ Washington St (UW -7)

I have already written about this game. It's a real hard call because both teams are just way too inconsistent. 

Michigan @ Ohio St (Ohio St -21)

I am not sure if this spread is too high. I think the Buckeyes have to make a statement if they wish to still be considered for an at-large bid. Their chances are running very thin but who's to say Penn St isn't gonna trip up at East Lansing. Both these games are going to be of huge significance. If Ohio St trip ups and Michigan St beats Penn St, Michigan St goes to the Rose Bowl. The Wolverines have a chance to play spoilers for their in-state brothers. I say Ohio St wins but just not by 21.

Michigan St @ Penn St (Penn St -15.5)

Now, I am not picking Penn St to win by 15.5. I am picking them to win but I expect this game to be decided by a touchdown or less. And if I had to call for an upset this weekend, this would be it. Like I have mentioned above, the Spartans still need some help to get to the Rose Bowl, but they can only do so much for themselves.

Stanford @ California (Cal -8.5)

THE BIG GAME. This year it might actually have some truth to it since Stanford has awoken. Sorry to all you Cal alum who read this blog... but you already know how much I hate your team and your stadium. The Bears, as usual, is in it's end of season slide and the Cardinal have become a pretty respectable team this year. I actually like Stanford's chances. I am not only going to call Stanford to cover the spread but also to win. 

Big games of the week:

Several of the games above are some of this week's big games.

But the biggest game this week.

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma. 

Go Red Raiders. Give Stoops another screwed up ending to his year. 

Some CFB thoughts

Yes, its a busy day on this blog.

Before I post my picks for Saturday's CFB games, I wanted to talk about several things in CFB.

(1) Saturday will see the 101st game in the Apple Cup series.

Washington Huskies (0-10) will be at Washington State Cougars (1-10).

WSU's win came over Div 1-AA Portland St.

So, between the 2 teams, they have yet to secure a Div 1-A (otherwise known as the Bowl Championship Division or some crap like this) win.

It's a very sad state of affairs for these Washington schools.

Neither of them have their original starting QBs.

One of them will not have a coach after this weekend.

On the bright side, one of them will have a Div 1-A win after this weekend.

And if you don't believe that that is inspiration enough, read this article by SI.com.

As a Oregon fan, I couldn't be happier that these 2 schools from the state of WA are in complete disarray.

However, as a semi-decent human being... what the hell... I still couldn't be happier that these 2 schools from the state of WA are in a complete disarray.

But, seriously, I think the positive to take away from this is... like stated in the article, the ability to motivate oneself even when you are at the lowest point. I think that's incredible. Not everyone is able to do that. When you are 0-10, there is no light at the end of the tunnel... many will say, why keep looking? It's inspiring to see 18-20 yr olds with this kind of motivation.

(2) Really, who wants to see Alabama in the championship game. Well, unless you are a Tide fan and/or alum, I don't think anyone else is really interested. Bama could possibly be the most boring team playing for the national title in the last 10 years. I really don't remember a more boring team. They have scored an average of 18.9pts which puts them at 107th. And they allow 16.4pts which is ranked 12th. So, their defense is winning them games but their defense is not as dominating as a USC or Penn St defense. I don't know. I would rather watch Florida if there had to be a SEC team in the championship game.

(3) Which leads me to... Texas Tech, Texas and Oklahoma.

What happens if Oklahoma beats TT this weekend? 

Who should be the highest ranked team then, since Oklahoma beats TT, and TT beat Texas and Texas beat Oklahoma? 

Should it be decided by the point differencial in each of the wins? 

I don't know, but I believe the team who is going to get the stick shaft is TT. If they beat Oklahoma this weekend, there is nothing more to be said... they should be either the #1 or #2 team in the land. However, if they were to lose, the Longhorns and Sooners, will surely jump ahead of them just by the nature of the unfairness of who all these schools are. Forget about bias between conferences. The bias within conferences is just as bad and the Red Raiders are going to suffer the short end of the stick in the Big 12 bias. There will be some who will come back out to say that the loss nearer to the end of the season matters the most. I disagree. The end of the season is also the portion where injury and fatigue set in and shouldn't that be taken into account as well?

By far, the 3 most exciting teams in the country, I would still rank them, in terms of excitement and definitely skill (but mostly offensive skills, since these teams have barely any defense) (1) TT, (2) Oklahoma and (3) Texas.

I would love to see a rematch or TT-Texas as the national championship game, but you know that's not gonna happen.

So, my next choice is actually TT-USC and that's not due to my Pac-10 bias. I would love to see how the Raider's offense is going to match up with the super dominant Trojan defense.

But, I think it's gonna be a TT-Florida/Alabama national championship. I definitely prefer TT-Florida though... so, go Gators (against the Tide on Dec 6).

A day of mixed results

Went 2 for 5 on the "would put money" section and 3 for 5 in the "no guts to put money" section.

Woke up to watch the Duck game but saw that the score was 35-17 with the first half almost over (like 4 mins left in the first half). Decided to go back to bed after seeing such a comfortable score. Woke up again about an hour and a half later and the score was now 48-38 with about 7 mins left in the game. Wow, the Ducks sure know how to keep a game interesting. 

Belotti, you don't have to run up the score, but you sure as hell don't need to have your opponents run up their score to catch up with you... DUH!!. So, I crawled out of bed to finish watching the game. Ducks were finally able to stop the Wildcats offense after 4 straight TDs. Dang... and then finally scored one of their own. Final score 55-45... but a little to close for comfort.

One more thing before I post my "wagering results". Oregon @ Oregon St next week. I would love for the Ducks to win, however, if the Beavers win out, they will be headed to the Rose Bowl. They are in the driver's seat. I think the reward for the Beavers beating the Trojans should be a trip to the Rose Bowl. I will be upset but not that upset if the Ducks lose to the Beavers next week. Go Beavs!!

(My calls in Blue, correct calls in Green and incorrect calls in Red.)

Games I would (and probably have) put money on (my picks in GREEN):

Texas 48 Kansas 20 (Texas -13.5)

Texas 35 Kansas 7

Georgia 33 Auburn 16 (Georgia -10)

Georgia 17 Auburn 13

Notre Dame 30 Navy 20 (ND -4)

ND 27 Navy 21

Arizona St 54 Washington St 13 (ASU -36.5)

ASU 31 WSU 0

Toledo 19 W Michigan 38 (W Mich -15.5)

Toledo 17 W Mich 27


Games I would love to put money on, but have no guts:

Utah St @ Louisiana Tech (La Tech -14)
Utah St is just as bad as the WA teams and no one can save them. La Tech is not that good but that away win over SJSU last week was pretty impressive. I think they are going to walk all over Utah St. But "think" is the key word.

Utah St 38 La Tech 45

UConn @ Syrcause (UConn -10)
Another one of those games like the Utah St/La Tech game. Syracuse is not doing too well, UConn has a pretty decent thing. I am actually more likely than not to wager on this game.

UConn 39 Syracuse 14

Tulsa @Houston (Tulsa -4)
I think this is actually also a pretty good game to play. I believe Tulsa can bounce back from their first loss of the season last week. The only caution I have is that this game is going to be a home game for Houston.

Tulsa 30 Houston 70

Something must have gone really, really wrong in this game. Look at the odds, look at the score. Tulsa must not have shown up at all. I guess with 5 turnovers, you are bound to suffer the consequences.

UCLA @ Washington (UCLA -7)
Alright, you should begin seeing the trend by now. Place your bets against the 2 WA teams and I think you will come out on top. I mean, the Apple Cup this year might have to give out tickets for people to actually attend the game. Now, the only reason this game is not in the section above... UCLA is actually pretty bad too. And the game is a home game for the Huskies. UCLA evens the home field edge with a more experience QB.

UCLA 27 Washington 7

New Mexico St @ Fresno St (Fresno St -17)
I like Fresno in this one except that they have been playing rather erratically. The spread is a little on the high side. If it was a 2 TD or less spread, I would have taken them more readily.

NM St 17 Fresno St 24

CFB Predictions (Week 12)

This is done for the hell of it. If you decide you want to use what I am posting, you are doing so at your own risk.
(ATS w/ $: 13-29 (45%). ATS no $: 19-36 (53%). SU: 55-66 (83%).

Games I would (and probably have) put money on (my picks in GREEN):

Texas 48 Kansas 20 (Texas -13.5)

Georgia 33 Auburn 16 (Georgia -10)

Notre Dame 30 Navy 20 (ND -4)

Arizona St 54 Washington  St 13 (ASU -36.5)

Toledo 19 W Michigan 38 (W Mich -15.5)


Games I would love to put money on, but have no guts:

Utah St @ Louisiana Tech (La Tech -14)

Utah St is just as bad as the WA teams and no one can save them. La Tech is not that good but that away win over SJSU last week was pretty impressive. I think they are going to walk all over Utah St. But "think" is the key word.

UConn @ Syrcause (UConn -10)

Another one of those games like the Utah St/La Tech game. Syracuse is not doing too well, UConn has a pretty decent thing. I am actually more likely than not to wager on this game.

Tulsa @Houston (Tulsa -4)

I think this is actually also a pretty good game to play. I believe Tulsa can bounce back from their first loss of the season last week. The only caution I have is that this game is going to be a home game for Houston.

UCLA @ Washington (UCLA -7)

Alright, you should begin seeing the trend by now. Place your bets against the 2 WA teams and I think you will come out on top. I mean, the Apple Cup this year might have to give out tickets for people to actually attend the game. Now, the only reason this game is not in the section above... UCLA is actually pretty bad too. And the game is a home game for the Huskies. UCLA evens the home field edge with a more experience QB.

New Mexico St @ Fresno St (Fresno St -17)

I like Fresno in this one except that they have been playing rather erratically. The spread is a little on the high side. If it was a 2 TD or less spread, I would have taken them more readily.

No really huge games this week.

Of course there is the Ducks last home game of the season.

Arizona @ Oregon

And I would love to see Oklahoma St recover from last weeks loss at Texas Tech and run all over Colorado. Play the over on that game!!

keeping my day job

to support this side job that is not doing too well... hahaha!!!

Didn't too well in neither section this week. The good news. I did catch the Stanford/Oregon game and also part of the Oklahoma St/Texas Tech game.

Before I post the results. I would have loved to have seen Penn St and Texas Tech in the Bull Crap Shit Championship game. It would have been wonderful to see how Penn St's awesome-up-to-yesterday defense play the TT still-awesome-today offense. I think Graham Harrell (40-50, 456 yds, 6 TDs for this game, 4077 yds and 36 TDs for the season), if TT wins out, should win the Heisman. And the runner up should be Michael Crabtree. 

Now to the results. This week there was a tie, so...

(My calls in Blue, correct calls in Green, ties in Yellow and incorrect calls in Red.)

Games I would (and probably have) put money on (my picks in GREEN):

Baylor 16 Texas 51 (Texas -28)

Baylor 21 Texas 45

Utah St 12 Boise St 48 (BSU -35)

Utah St 14 Boise St 49

Penn St 24 Iowa 9 (Penn St -8)

Penn St 23 Iowa 24

Arizona St 33 Washington 10 (ASU -14.5)

Arizona St 39 Washington 19

San Jose St 31 LA Tech 13 (SJSU -7.5)

San Jose St 0 LA Tech 21

Games I would love to put money on, but have no guts:

Arizona @ Washington St (Arizona -41)
Take a guess why I have not guts putting money on this game. It's gonna be a blow out, but Arizona is not USC and can they actually put up 41 points on Wazzu?

Arizona 59 Washington St 28
Arizona should have lost this game. They allowed Wazzu to score 28 points on them?? Wazzu has score 30 points in their last 5 games, their last 2 a big fat zero. How on earth did Arizona allow Wazzu their best scoring game of the season?

Illinois @ Western Michigan (Illinois -8)
Illinois has been pretty decent this season. They have a good offense but not too good a defense. W Mich has a good offense too and I think this might be a high scoring game. However, I think Illinois has just a little more of a defense than W Mich does. But, don't know enough of W Mich to place money on this.

Illinois 17 W Michigan 23

Michigan @ Minnesota (Minn -8.5)
Minnesota will be back after their last moment interception touchdown return loss against Northwestern last week. They will beat the not too good Wolverine team who also had a heart wrenching loss last week to Purdue. However, I don't think Michigan is quite that good enough this season to beat the Golden Gophers who are going to gain an advantage through turnovers.

Michigan 29 Minnesota 6

San Diego St @ BYU (BYU -37)
I know SDSU is quite bad, but I don't think BYU has the offense to cover the spread.

SDSU 12 BYU 41

Georgia @ Kentucky (Georgia -12.5)
sigh... Georgia's hopeful championship season has come to a close. I liked this team. I hoped they would have won last weeks game against Florida. But, maybe they are not as good as everyone, myself included, thought they were. 2 weeks ago, I would have said they would have covered this spread... today, I don't know. They will win over an injury depleted Wildcat team, but I am not confident they will cover the spread.

Georgia 42 Kentucky 38

CFB Predictions (Week 11)

This is done for the hell of it. If you decide you want to use what I am posting, you are doing so at your own risk.
(ATS w/ $ 12-24 (50%). ATS no $ 19-31 (61%). SU 49-56 (88%).

Games I would (and probably have) put money on (my picks in GREEN):

Baylor 16 Texas 51 (Texas -28)

Utah St 12 Boise St 48 (BSU -35)

Penn St 24 Iowa 9 (Penn St -8)

Arizona St 33 Washington 10 (ASU -14.5)

San Jose St 31 LA Tech 13 (SJSU -7.5)

Games I would love to put money on, but have no guts:

Arizona @ Washington St (Arizona -41)

Take a guess why I have not guts putting money on this game. It's gonna be a blow out, but Arizona is not USC and can they actually put up 41 points on Wazzu? 

Illinois @ Western Michigan (Illinois -8)

Illinois has been pretty decent this season. They have a good offense but not too good a defense. W Mich has a good offense too and I think this might be a high scoring game. However, I think Illinois has just a little more of a defense than W Mich does. But, don't know enough of W Mich to place money on this.

Michigan @ Minnesota (Minn -8.5)

Minnesota will be back after their last moment interception touchdown return loss against Northwestern last week. They will beat the not too good Wolverine team who also had a heart wrenching loss last week to Purdue. However, I don't think Michigan is quite that good enough this season to beat the Golden Gophers who are going to gain an advantage through turnovers.

San Diego St @ BYU (BYU -37)

I know SDSU is quite bad, but I don't think BYU has the offense to cover the spread.

Georgia @ Kentucky (Georgia -12.5)

sigh... Georgia's hopeful championship season has come to a close. I liked this team. I hoped they would have won last weeks game against Florida. But, maybe they are not as good as everyone, myself included, thought they were. 2 weeks ago, I would have said they would have covered this spread... today, I don't know. They will win over an injury depleted Wildcat team, but I am not confident they will cover the spread.

Big games this weekend:

Stanford @ Oregon

And you know my call with this one.

(1) Alabama @ (15) LSU

LSU, very much like Georgia has fallen quite a bit since a top 5 ranking. Since this is a home game for LSU, it might make it interesting for Bama.

(8) Oklahoma St @ (2) Texas Tech

Fresh off it's win over the then #1 Longhorn team, will TT have a letdown this week? I believe if you want to put a wager on this game, it will be the over on the total. As much as I like Oklahoma St, I think I like TT better.

(21) California @ (7) USC

Smack the damn Bears! Smack them silly.

Putting on the hurt...

Went one for five again. Went 5 for 6 on the games that I didn't dare to play. Maybe next week, I should write this posting and change my tactics... play the games I don't dare to play... sigh...

(My calls in Blue, correct calls in Green and incorrect calls in Red.)

Games I would (and probably have) put money on (my picks in GREEN):

Temple 12 Navy 28 (Navy -7)

Temple 27 Navy 33

Utah 33 New Mexico 20 (Utah -7.5)

Utah 13 New Mexico 10

Missouri 48 Baylor 23 (Missouri -21.5)

Missouri 31 Baylor 28

San Jose St 36 Idaho 17 (SJSU -16.5)

SJSU 30 Idaho 24

Texas Christian 35 UNLV 17 (TCU -14)

TCU 44 UNLV 14



Games I would love to put money on, but have no guts:

Iowa St @ Oklahoma St (-30.5)
The other Oklahoma team that is also doing very well this season. The loss to Texas last week was a heartbreaker. Iowa St is not doing very well and the only question is how much will they lose by. I'm not sure OkSt is going to cover the spread.

Iowa St 17 Oklahoma St 59

Tulsa @ Arkansas (Tulsa -7)
I really like the unbeaten Tulsa and David Johnson, their QB. I think they are going to pull this game off but this is a Conference USA team against a SEC team. Unfortunately, my bias will always be there.

Tulsa 23 Arkansas 30

Tennessee @ South Carolina (SC -6)
Tennessee is looking terrible, they are close to the bottom of the NCAA Div 1 offense ranking. They can hardly move the ball. I think that is all that needs to be said. But, South Carolina has not been consistent and I am picking them but not with a whole lot of confidence.

Tennessee 6 S Carolina 27

Nebraska @ Oklahoma (Oklahoma -21.5)
I think OU can do it. The Cornhuskers are not the Cornhuskers of the past BUT, this is a huge rivalry game and in rivalry games, anything can happen. I predict the Sooners are going to win, just not with confidence they can cover the spread.

Nebraska 28 Oklahoma 62

Washington St @ Stanford (Stanford -30)
As I have written many times this season, and the debate is actually on, this is a extremely horrible Wazzu team. The debate on whether this might actually be the worse Pac 10 team ever is not going to make them any better. The only reason they are not winless like their other in-state brother is they played a Div 1-AA Portland St. Stanford on the other hand is starting to show some signs of life under Jim Harbaugh. They are 2 games away from being bowl eligible for the first time in forever and better pick up this game as the rest of the way (Oregon, USC and Cal) is going to be a much tougher road. Just unsure of the spread.

WSU 0 Stanford 58

Washington @ USC (USC -46)
0-7 and no coach. I try to stay away from such high spreads because I don't think college teams try to embarrass each other very much any more. But then again, the Huskies might show up like Wazzu and not even attempt to stop the Trojans. Remember, the Trojans only threw 2 passes all of the second half and still ended the game with 69 points.

Washington 0 USC 56

College Game Day

Go Chris Fowler. His call... Ducks upset Bears.

Lee Corso, as usual, SUCKS!!!

Kirk Herbstreit picks the Ducks too...

And what on earth does Bobby Knight know about college football???

This will be the first time in 10 years that I will not be attending either a Bear or Cardinal home game against the Ducks... it's a sad day.

Go Ducks!!

CFB Predictions (Week 10)

This is done for the hell of it. If you decide you want to use what I am posting, you are doing so at your own risk.
(ATS w/ $ 11-19 (58%). ATS no $ 14-25 (56%). SU 39-45 (87%).

Games I would (and probably have) put money on (my picks in GREEN):

Temple 12 Navy 28 (Navy -7)

Utah 33 New Mexico  20 (Utah -7.5)

Missouri 48 Baylor 23 (Missouri -21.5)

San Jose St 36 Idaho 17 (SJSU -16.5)

Texas Christian 35 UNLV 17 (TCU -14)



Games I would love to put money on, but have no guts:

Iowa St @ Oklahoma St (-30.5)

The other Oklahoma team that is also doing very well this season. The loss to Texas last week was a heartbreaker. Iowa St is not doing very well and the only question is how much will they lose by. I'm not sure OkSt is going to cover the spread.

Tulsa @ Arkansas (Tulsa -7)

I really like the unbeaten Tulsa and David Johnson, their QB. I think they are going to pull this game off but this is a Conference USA team against a SEC team. Unfortunately, my bias will always be there. 

Tennessee @ South Carolina (SC -6)

Tennessee is looking terrible, they are close to the bottom of the NCAA Div 1 offense ranking. They can hardly move the ball. I think that is all that needs to be said. But, South Carolina has not been consistent and I am picking them but not with a whole lot of confidence.

Nebraska @ Oklahoma (Oklahoma -21.5)

I think OU can do it. The Cornhuskers are not the Cornhuskers of the past BUT, this is a huge rivalry game and in rivalry games, anything can happen. I predict the Sooners are going to win, just not with confidence they can cover the spread.

Washington St @ Stanford (Stanford -30)

As I have written many times this season, and the debate is actually on, this is a extremely horrible Wazzu team. The debate on whether this might actually be the worse Pac 10 team ever is not going to make them any better. The only reason they are not winless like their other in-state brother is they played a Div 1-AA Portland St. Stanford on the other hand is starting to show some signs of life under Jim Harbaugh. They are 2 games away from being bowl eligible for the first time in forever and better pick up this game as the rest of the way (Oregon, USC and Cal) is going to be a much tougher road. Just unsure of the spread.

Washington @ USC (USC -46)

0-7 and no coach. I try to stay away from such high spreads because I don't think college teams try to embarrass each other very much any more. But then again, the Huskies might show up like Wazzu and not even attempt to stop the Trojans. Remember, the Trojans only threw 2 passes all of the second half and still ended the game with 69 points. 

Huge games this weekend:

(23)Oregon @ Cal

You know how I would like this one to go. Especially after the Cameron Colvin special last year... Oregon is looking like it's QB problems are behind them, but playing in Berkeley is always a challenge. 

(5)Florida @ (8)Georgia

Is Georgia going to have a huge letdown after that big win at LSU last week? I like Georgia in this game but Florida is looking for revenge from the end zone gimmick and the beating they got from Georgia last year. This will be a great game.

(1)Texas @ (6)texas Tech

This is going to be a shootout. TT is on a 10 game win streak and the Longhorns are on a 9 game win streak. Graham Harrell is playing like a stud but so is Colt McCoy. I would love the Red Raiders to win this game, but I think the Longhorns are just going to pull this one off.

Got killed again this weekend...

When 1 for 5 with one more game to be played tomorrow. Pretty bad.

Should have played the ones I didn't dare to play. For those, I went 4 for 6.

(My calls in Blue, correct calls in Green and incorrect calls in Red.)


Games I would (and probably have) put money on (my picks in GREEN):

New Mexico St 48 Idaho 24 (NMSt -13)

NM St 14 Idaho 20

Duke 13 Vanderbilt 30 (Vandy -10.5)

Duke 10 Vandy  7

Baylor 20 Nebraska 38 (Nebraska -13)
Baylor 20 Nebraska 32

Notre Dame 35 Washington 13 (ND -11) Totally against my principles... but...

ND 33 Washington  7

Central Florida 17 Tulsa 52 (Tulsa -24)

to be played on Sunday

Utah St 17 Fresno St 45 (Fresno St -14.5)
Utah St 28 Fresno St 30

Games I would love to put money on, but have no guts:

Colorado @ Missouri (Missouri -24.5)
The high powered offense of Missouri has lost 2 games in a row. They are not going to lose this one. However, Colorado is not that bad of a team and I am not sure if they are going to cover the spread.

Missouri 58 Colorado 0

Troy @ North Texas (Troy -24)
I don't know much about these teams except that North Texas is BAD. The only reason they don't get mentioned like the Washington schools are that they don't come from a BCS conference. But they are just terrible. However, because I don't know too much about Troy, I wouldn't really bet on them either. Troy to win, but by how much? Your guess is as good as mine.

Troy 44 N Texas 17

Minnesota @ Purdue (pick em)
My call is on Minnesota (sorry to my wife and all her friends). Purdue is not playing very good football these days. Last weeks loss to Northwestern was just... bad. Minnesota is not that much better, but I think they have a slight edge. Only thing going for Purdue in this game is that they are playing in West Lafayette. Minnesota by 3.

Minn 17 Purdue 6

Kentucky @ Florida (Florida -26)
Florida is going to win this game. Just not by 26 points. So, I am picking Kentucky (but not to win, just Florida not covering the spread) Kentucky is a decent team. I am not sure the Gators are going to be able to run up that many points against them. Plus, it's a bias call... Go Rich Brooks!!

Kentucky 5 Florida 63

USC @ Arizona (USC -15)
I don't know why I am scared to make this bet. USC is going to do what they do best... trample over their opponents. There is no team in the PAC 10 that is going to stop them. They may run into some problems at Cal but other than that, they should be running the table. Arizona is erratic, maybe that's why I am not willing to pick USC by that point spread. USC is going to win, just by how much.

USC 17 Arizona 10

Michigan St @ Michigan (MSU -4.5)
Michigan is so bad this year, this should be a no brainer. But... I just don't know. The Spartans are not showing any consistency. This might just be the game that RR turns the Wolverine program around.

Michigan St 35 Michigan 21

CFB Predictions (Week 9)

This is done for the hell of it. If you decide you want to use what I am posting, you are doing so at your own risk.
(ATS w/ $ 9-13 (69%). ATS no $ 10-19 (53%). SU 28-33 (85%).

Games I would (and probably have) put money on (my picks in GREEN):

New Mexico St 48 Idaho 24 (NMSt -13)

Duke 13 Vanderbilt 30 (Vandy -10.5)

Baylor 20 Nebraska 38 (Nebraska -13)

Notre Dame 35 Washington 13 (ND -11) Totally against my principles... but...

Central Florida 17 Tulsa 52 (Tulsa -24)

Utah St 17 Fresno St 45 (Fresno St -14.5)

Games I would love to put money on, but have no guts:

Colorado @ Missouri (Missouri -24.5)

The high powered offense of Missouri has lost 2 games in a row. They are not going to lose this one. However, Colorado is not that bad of a team and I am not sure if they are going to cover the spread.

Troy @ North Texas (Troy -24)

I don't know much about these teams except that North Texas is BAD. The only reason they don't get mentioned like the Washington schools are that they don't come from a BCS conference. But they are just terrible. However, because I don't know too much about Troy, I wouldn't really bet on them either. Troy to win, but by how much? Your guess is as good as mine.

Minnesota @ Purdue (pick em)

My call is on Minnesota (sorry to my wife and all her friends). Purdue is not playing very good football these days. Last weeks loss to Northwestern was just... bad. Minnesota is not that much better, but I think they have a slight edge. Only thing going for Purdue in this game is that they are playing in West Lafayette. Minnesota by 3.

Kentucky @ Florida (Florida -26)

Florida is going to win this game. Just not by 26 points. So, I am picking Kentucky (but not to win, just Florida not covering the spread) Kentucky is a decent team. I am not sure the Gators are going to be able to run up that many points against them. Plus, it's a bias call... Go Rich Brooks!!

USC @ Arizona (USC -15)

I don't know why I am scared to make this bet. USC is going to do what they do best... trample over their opponents. There is no team in the PAC 10 that is going to stop them. They may run into some problems at Cal but other than that, they should be running the table. Arizona is erratic, maybe that's why I am not willing to pick USC by that point spread. USC is going to win, just by how much.

Michigan St @ Michigan (MSU -4.5)

Michigan is so bad this year, this should be a no brainer. But... I just don't know. The Spartans are not showing any consistency. This might just be the game that RR turns the Wolverine program around. 

Huge games this week:

7 Oklahoma St @ 1 Texas

Would love to see the Longhorns lose this one and once again open up the BCS. However, Texas has been looking extremely good (never thought those words would ever come out of my mouth). They have been efficiently destroying their opponents. And, I doubt they are going to trip up this week.

9 Georgia @ 11 LSU

Crazy game. No idea who will win. Will be an excellent game to watch even though it is probably going to be low scoring.

3 Penn St @ 10 Ohio St

Penn St should give JoePa a win here and (my wish) a national championship this year. And then JoePa can go rest cos he should be doing that and not stressing out on the sidelines (or in the booth). This will be Penn St's statement game if they win. A win with a Texas loss will most likely vault them over Bama.